3 Football Betting Strategies to Win Big & Make Income Online | Caan Berry

welcome to this week’s upload where we’re going through three successful football betting strategies so I’m creating this video because several of you have asked in the comments recently about football betting strategy and also honestly believe that anyone can make an income online through football betting when they have the right strategy in fact several of football’s most successful punters have been trading these prices for a number of years now it’s often done by reading previous data patterns on past events and applying all that you’ve learned to the present which is exactly what this video is about because I’m going to share three different strategies that you can consistently apply it to the football betting markets in order to extract a profit over the longer term but before I do that I just want to mention last week gave away 310 pound cash to one lucky

YouTube viewer with in this video we’re going to do another cash giveaway so stay tuned to see if you’ve won the cash and also how you can go about collecting that from us so onto the strategies so before we get into the nuts and bolts of strategy there’s a very crucial point I need to make and it is a large problem but it’s also part of the solution when you’re building betting strategy or successfully betting on football and that is fanaticism so football was very passionate sport there’s a lot of biases within the markets and that’s because there’s biases within people that follow football now you don’t want to be one of those people you can’t be emotional you can’t be too passionate too connected and attached to a team or a league or a player okay you need to eradicate as much of that bias as you possibly can to effectively implement your strategy

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within the market now when I talk about trading within this clip too some people may be confused betting and trading or extremely similar basically when you’re trading you’re opening a betting position and then you’re cashing out that betting position to lock in the profit and you’re doing so with an edge or advantage within the market it may very sound very simple on the top level and in many ways it is but it’s a little bit more tricky to execute in the markets if you’ve already tried is highly likely that you understand where I’m coming from with that one so in this video it’s gonna be more practical I’m gonna tell you some practical ways with some logical reasons back including some graphs and strategy and data and information meaning it’s possible for anyone to do I’d also advise getting some trading software right for all of your trading just because it gives you more information quicker information

and it’s more useful for making informed decisions as you’ll see later in this video and on top of that you want some live streaming of some sort for the match that’s going on that you’re betting and trading on that point in time now the more live that is the more helpful it’s going to be to you if you’re using HD services and all this 4k kind of stuff then you can expect significant delay Betfair live video is typically quick enough it’s usually worth a few seconds behind and you can take that one step further if you really want to go die hard there’s people out there that collect biss keys get satellites in their back garden just so they can hijack the

TV stream and beat everybody to the market in terms of placing bets but that’s quite extreme that’s not for this video this video is focused solely on strategy and implementing yourself in the market where you can find value and where that is now the benefits of having a strategy are really quite obvious it’s going to help you avoid impulsive behavior in silly things but clicks in the market obviously it’s repeatable once you’ve got a successful strategy refined down and you believe in it and you’re willing to put your money on the table it’s more durable long term and you can scale it up over time even through harder times you know that you can weather the storm so we’re going to get into these three strategies now

because I’ve gone on enough already and the third one in my opinion is the best one and we’ve got the quality live example to show you exactly how that works too so starting off of strategy one it’s very low risk strategy and there’s little sometimes there’s no risk involved in doing this although I’m not going to kid you you know you can’t necessarily do it in every single football match but I’m here to tell you the truth and actually help you rather than get you to mindlessly place bets so the reason this strategy works is because it’s focusing on an imbalance in probabilities meaning you’re more often likely to get a bigger upside than you are downside and therefore it will put you in the green long term player psychology on pitch is very important a key element to this strategy as is overreact behavior in terms of people betting on the football not people playing football people betting on the football and again that same group of people panicking panic from losers quite frankly which is not going to be us so just to elaborate on that slightly more there is as you in fact you’ll see in a moment with the chart that

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I’m about to explain and highlight on the screen there is an imbalance in terms of there’s more upside than there is downside that the player psychology on pitch is extremely important because this set up happens after a goal has been scored and typically around that point in time player behavior changes or there’s a lull for a brief period sometimes there’s a counter-attack from the countering team which is going to go in our favor – and then the overreacted behavior is again those fanatics of people who have always previously mentioned in the opening to this video that people are feeling like they’ve missed out on potentially he’s going to move the market in our favor and again those losers and they’re panicking or chasing their their losses maybe and they’re cashing out profits really quickly after the goal and they are all gonna work for us in our favor to give us an advantage in the market so the way to make the best of this strategy in terms of winning is to make sure you come in with an opportune entry position entry bet for that opening bet in your in your strategy the offering value at price for yourself not for everybody else so you’re offering poor value for everyone else and it also exploits a natural stalling point within the market so it’s low risk we’re looking after the losses and then waiting for the upturn whilst everyone else is in turmoil quite frankly

we’re gonna take advantage of that so if we look at this chart you can see it’s the the chart on but Fez exchange for a football match there has been two goals and this matches very notably on screen there and that is where the price is dropped now when the price drops you can see that there is this routine pattern of behavior there’s an overreaction that goes all the way down and we’re highlighted on screen there with the green dotted line so you want to place your opening bet so the opening part of this strategy is to place a lay bet at the bottom price there or a roundabout there you don’t have to get to use that price and you’re offering a bet to the market so the market over reacts sometimes it can go on for sort of like 20-30 seconds while the market sorts itself out bouncing around typically it’s not for too long but like I say we’re here we’re here to make money not you know sort of spin you some some dit the market then corrects itself from goes back to where the yellow line is dotted across the screen there which will put you in profit to start looking at this example that give you around about six ticks profit that you could cash out for but the most important point is the lull in play so after there’s a goal gone in there’s often encounter from the opposing team which can then push the price far further out and it’s quite unlikely I mean it does happen occasionally but it’s quite unlikely there’s two goals in quick succession and that comes down to the player psychology on pitch – they’ve just scored a goal is their main priority to then try and whack in another one within the space of a few minutes so you’re left with a position where potentially there’s a massive upside because if the cap the countering team’s score the price goes back out to 1.7 and you’re in for a huge profit whereas the team that have just scored are far less likely to have another goal in quick succession it’s almost like creating yourself free bet within the market any size or state that you want as long as you can get a match down the bottom there so quickly just to interrupt before we hit up strategy number two I’m gonna do a hundred pound cash giveaway for one subscriber to this channel he’s left to comment recently just like we did in last week’s video so you can see on the left there of select public subscribers I’m choosing 10 different names from the list that have recently commented to any video on this channel and as long as I’ve got a subscriber badge next to their name and then going to use the random number generator up on the top right there to pick the winner get in touch with them and send them a hundred quid cash no questions asked now if the prize isn’t claimed for any reason we’ll do a redraw for this cash prize next week in a different video upload so stay tuned check out and congratulations to cloudy palms this week the winner so onto strategy number two and this is another decent one although I’d say out of the three this is the weakest now you’ve probably heard of time decay before in football and this strategy is based around time decay probably of a few differences to what you’ve heard elsewhere so the reason it works is because chance deteriorates it’s overtime as you can see on the chart on the right there and so there is movement in the market in one direction we know which direction the market should be moving in which is a benefit to some degree and we want to exploit price movement as it happens knowing that it goes in that one direction the other reason that this strategy works relatively well is because you can tie this in with player intent and motivation in terms of what’s happening on pitch with your own football knowledge remember trading or betting should always be viewed like a boxing match where you can choose to step into the ring and take a punch you don’t have to be in the game all the time is one saying so with this strategy particularly be very careful when you do and don’t use it the whole advantage is to step back keep minimum exposure in the market at any one time looking for that area of maximum movement in line with time decay so the best way of winning with this strategy is to target areas of accelerated decay we’re gonna highlight that and go through that in a moment in more depth focus on keeping that minimum exposure as I say in terms of potential loss manage the downside and offer entry bets only value prices again much like the previous strategy and seek extreme domination on the pitch basically so you want to look at things like expected goals shots off target shots on target teams keeping the ball into the corners later in the match because quite frankly you know domination is what this strategy is all about if there’s domination on pitch then it’s a safer environment to use this strategy we don’t want it to be competitive competition is for losers in terms of betting quite frankly and is a fair statement if we look at this chart here I’ll explain what these lines on the chart are all about so you’ve got the football match from the start there you can see the trading volume down the bottom very small portion where there’s a large chunk of volume match that is pre-match the match is then started throughout the match it’s gone to about midway you can see there’s a large spike in volume and price activity is stalled now the reason the price activity is stalled it’s a good at halftime there’s no match going on nothing’s happening and so the price was flat more or less now the second half is where you see the time decay accelerate so that’s what I’ve highlighted on the chart here so we’ve got the dark black line in the bottom and the dark black line at the top and that is the the area where there was the most movement in this particular match in the short space of time highlighted by the light gray lines now the Betfair chart something to bear in mind you should probably should bear in that in mind with the previous chart also are not in relation to time so you know that first chunk on the left there down the bottom where there’s a large volume matched pretty much that could have been two days whereas the small chunk that I’m highlighting there was more like five minutes so in the space of five minutes we’ve gone for a price movement of about two point zero eight two point one all the way up to two point three slightly above that a two point three two but all of that happened in the space of a few minutes in game in the second half because time decay was accelerating the price now the strategy is built around what’s actually happening in the match so you must have seen it in the past players start playing the ball into the corner they know the score line they’re looking for points from the match it in the various league tables and they play in the strategic game so what you’re looking for is you know when the balls out of play theres not a lots going on there’s no motivation there’s no intent the balls being held back in certain areas and there’s quite frankly not likely to be a goal and then you quickly nip in and out the market minimum exposure for maximum return when time decay is moving at a fair speed like I say strategy you can use in many different matches would just be very careful that you don’t use in the wrong environment because that’s when a goal will go against you and I don’t want to happen because I mean you have to do several other matches to bring the profit back on par so strategy three and probably my favorite strategy is around parallel market intent so what do we mean by that well you know I’ve named it that because that is the reason for the strategy working and the reason is that there are parallel markets that have the same intent even though there are different markets okay when there is change in one area it means that the market has to change elsewhere or a similar market has to change elsewhere and its fastest finger first so we’re thinking about injuries stuff like that something I can relate this to in horse racing is activity that happens that Cheltenham will then impact the prices at Aintree around the ground national meeting around about a month later so if you’re sat watching the Grand National meeting markets whilst Cheltenham is on and you see what’s happening in the final home straight you can often catch a price movement at Aintree because it is a parallel type market the same happens in football so when we think about winning you want to use your football knowledge you want to have live information at your fingertips you want to think about areas that this is going to work so team sheets future matches injuries if a player is injured it stands to reason if say for example a team’s star player is injured in final 20 minutes of a game but they’ve got other games to follow on in the league later that month then the price is going to change elsewhere so you want to think like a football manager when you’re thinking about where you’ve got to find your trades with this one and then you need to react as quickly as possible now isn’t the strategy that most people will be expecting but it’s an extremely reliable one so thinking back to team sheets you know news comes out and the price moves that can be an hour before 20 minutes before it depends what’s happening and what’s happening in the news I have got a very good high-quality example the space of a few minutes to share with you on this one where I actually done it and some news was released about a football team around about an hour before the start of the match which we’re now going to put in the end screen of this video to make sure you click that one to follow through it’s a few minutes long and it shows you not strategy number three in action also don’t forget to like this video and subscribe to the channel for further betting strategy related content

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